196 forecasters

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

93%chance

93%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 30, 2021

Closes:

Sep 13, 2021

Resolved:

Sep 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 1, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

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