86 comments
196 forecasters
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?
93%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2021
Closes:Sep 13, 2021
Resolved:Sep 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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47% chance
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