86 comments
196 forecasters
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?
93%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 93% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2021
Closes:Sep 13, 2021
Resolved:Sep 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
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Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?
2
Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?
10 forecasters
Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?
47% chance
43