Question

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?

Resolved:Yes
26
86
Total Forecasters196
Community Prediction
93%
(87% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
76.1
Community Peer Score
9.8
Authors:
SimonM
Opened:Apr 30, 2021
Closes:Sep 13, 2021
Resolves:Sep 15, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
Politics
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