Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

When will 75% Virginians have 1+ vaccine dose

Healthy Communities Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Question

There are currently three SARS-CoV-2 vaccines that have been authorized for emergency use by the U.S. FDA, and all three are currently being administered in Virginia: Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna, and Janssen. As of late April, the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine is authorized for those 16+ years old, Moderna for 18+ years old, and Janssen for those 18+ years old.

As of 27 April, 43.2% of Virginia's total population of 8.5M has been vaccinated with at least one dose.

When will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose reach 75%?

This question resolves on the basis of the date when the "% of the population vaccinated with at least one dose" figure displayed on the VDH COVID-19 Vaccine Summary dashboard reaches 75%.

If this does not occur before 31 July 2023, it resolves as > 31 July 2023.

This question retroactively closes to when the "% of the population vaccinated with at least one dose" figure reaches 70%.

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.