Question

Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?

Resolved:Yes

19 comments19

Total Forecasters155

Community Prediction

99%

(97% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

90.2

Community Peer Score

5.1

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

May 9, 2021

Closes:

Dec 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

May 9, 2021

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

20%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

25%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

May 9, 2021

Closes:

Dec 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

May 9, 2021

Politics

2021 Leaderboard

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

20%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

25%