110 forecasters

Will US greenhouse gas emissions be halved by 2030?

1%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

May 8, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

May 8, 2021

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Labor will announce its 2035 emissions target this week. Here’s how it could shape Australia’s next decade

Guardian•Sep 15, 2025

US environment agency could end reporting of greenhouse gas emissions

Guardian•Sep 13, 2025

Trump is slowing — but not stopping — US greenhouse gas reductions

Verge•Sep 11, 2025

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