Question

What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?

Resolved:102.207k

2 comments2

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction

207k

(162k - 247k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>800k
community	161.6k	207.1k	247.1k	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	161.6k	—
median	207.1k	—
upper 75%	247.1k	—
Upper bound
>800k	0.1%	—

What was the final result?102.207k

Community Baseline Score

-4.1

Community Peer Score

10.4

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

May 5, 2021

Closes:

May 18, 2021

Resolves:

Jun 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

May 7, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%