Question
What will be the % prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 23 May - 05 June 2021?
Resolved:21.6Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
14.2
(7.5 - 20.1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 7.504 | — |
median | 14.22 | — |
upper 75% | 20.09 | — |
What was the final result?21.6
Community Baseline Score
51.1
Community Peer Score
25.1
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Jul 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2021
Closes:May 18, 2021
Resolves:Jul 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2021