Question

When will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction
>01 Jan 2025 00:00
(>01 Jan 2025 00:00 - >01 Jan 2025 00:00)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%>01 Jan 2025 00:00
median>01 Jan 2025 00:00
upper 75%>01 Jan 2025 00:00
Upper bound
>01 Jan 2025 00:0091.2%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
107.9
Community Peer Score
57.2
Authors:
Opened:May 11, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 13, 2021