Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

81 forecasters

4

81 forecasters

Will the UK Conservative Party win the 2021 Batley and Spen by-election?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

7 comments78 forecasters

Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?

Conservative Party0.1%

Labour Party74.8%

Restore Britain0.7%

23 comments96 forecasters

Conservative UK PM on Jan 1, 2030

11 comments111 forecasters

Labour UK PM on January 1, 2030

4 comments6 forecasters

Seats won per party in next UK general election 2029

Labour Party99.7

Conservative Party85.4

Liberal Democrats70.6

15 comments74 forecasters

UK Labour to have female leader before 2030?

5 comments30 forecasters

Will there be a Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

44 comments66 forecasters

Winner of Next Labour Leadership Election

Andy Burnham34%

Angela Rayner19%

Wes Streeting10%

28 comments823 forecasters

Will Starmer leave office in 2026?