🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Pedro Castillo win the second round of the Peru 2021 presidential election?

Resolved :Yes58%
6
13
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction58% (57% - 59%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 58%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
34.3
Community Peer Score
15.1
Authors:
maybenotdepends
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2021 Leaderboard
Roberto Girón and Pedro Castillo
Peru
Keiko Fujimori
Popular Force Party
Shining Path
Alberto Fujimori

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