10 forecasters

Has North Korea tested a boosted fission nuclear device?

40%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 11, 2016

Closes:

Jan 18, 2016

Resolved:

Feb 1, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 13, 2016

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