143 comments
205 forecasters
Will any body of the US federal government conclude that COVID-19 originated in a lab in Hubei before June 1st 2022?
37%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 37% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 20, 2021
Closes:Feb 25, 2022
Resolved:Dec 8, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2021