Question
When will be the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before? (Continued)
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters44
Community Prediction
>14 May 2022 00:00
(11 May 2022 05:12 - >14 May 2022 00:00)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 11 May 2022 05:12 | — |
| median | >14 May 2022 00:00 | — |
| upper 75% | >14 May 2022 00:00 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >14 May 2022 00:00 | 72.9% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
85.1
Community Peer Score
49.3
Authors:
Opened:May 21, 2021
Closes:Dec 24, 2021
Resolves:May 16, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 23, 2021
Authors:
Opened:May 21, 2021
Closes:Dec 24, 2021
Resolves:May 16, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 23, 2021