264 forecasters

Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024?

0.3%chance

0.3%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 15, 2021

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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