72 forecasters

Will Coinbase default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?

3%chance

3%chance

Ambiguous

Ambiguous

The community gave this a 3% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 25, 2021

Closes:

Mar 22, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 8, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2021

Economy & Business

Cryptocurrencies

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Are Regulatory Safeguards For Stablecoins Adequate?

Forbes•Sep 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?

Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?

Sam Bankman-Fried

Caroline Ellison

Before 2030, will traditional banks offer regulated DeFi yield products, with consumer protections?