84 comments
126 forecasters
Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?
80%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 31, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2021
Resolved:Jan 4, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2021
Will Lucy Letby's murder convictions be overturned within twenty years of her trial?
80% chance
12
Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026?
115 forecasters
Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?
1% chance
78