51 comments
97 forecasters
Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 6, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:May 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2021
Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? (2028)
30% chance
11
When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?
60% chance
28
Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?
8% chance
11