Question

What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?

Resolved:1647

9 comments9

Total Forecasters22

Community Prediction

1725

(1390 - 2078)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5000
community	1390	1725	2078	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	1390	—
median	1725	—
upper 75%	2078	—
Upper bound
>5000	0.3%	—

What was the final result?1647

Community Baseline Score

57.9

Community Peer Score

26.6

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jun 2, 2021

Closes:

Jun 16, 2021

Resolves:

Jul 19, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 4, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%