Question

What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?

Resolved:92.565k

2 comments2

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction

81.8k

(63.3k - 100k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>300k
community	63.29k	81.75k	100k	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	63.29k	—
median	81.75k	—
upper 75%	100k	—
Upper bound
>300k	0.2%	—

What was the final result?92.565k

Community Baseline Score

44.2

Community Peer Score

7.1

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jun 2, 2021

Closes:

Jun 16, 2021

Resolves:

Jul 23, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 4, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

142

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%