M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Learn more, and share your feedback and questions here

Question

Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023?

Resolved :No
17
46
Total Forecasters333
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
96.2
Community Peer Score
3.4
median 1.0%mean 1.4%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Article One of the United States Constitution
Speaker of the US House of Representatives
US House of Representatives
Donald Trump

Comments

? comments