146 forecasters

Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020?

5%chance

5%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 28, 2018

Closes:

Feb 1, 2020

Resolved:

Aug 19, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 29, 2018

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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AlterNet•Sep 11, 2025

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PJ Media•Sep 8, 2025

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Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

165 forecasters

Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?