Question

Will the year-over-year increase in U.S. Core CPI be above 4.0% for any 6 consecutive months before 2024?

Resolved:Yes

42 comments42

Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction

91%

(87% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 91%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

12.9

Community Peer Score

2.9

Authors:

maraging

Opened:

Aug 23, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2021

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?

0.18

Authors:

maraging

Opened:

Aug 23, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2021

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?

0.18