9 comments
46 forecasters
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2021
When will the first human baby be born, whose embryo was polygenically selected from a cohort of at least 50 simultaneously obtained ova?
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2028 - May 2043)
Oct 2034
(14 Sep 2028 - May 2043)
38 forecasters
When will the first human baby from stem cell-derived gametes be born?
Dec 2033
(27 Apr 2029 - Apr 2039)
Dec 2033
(27 Apr 2029 - Apr 2039)
72 forecasters
Which reproductive technology will achieve more clinical trial successes in human trait selection by 2035?
4 forecasters