Question
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
142M $
(64.2M $ - 395M $)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <10M $ | 6.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 64.2M $ | — |
| median | 142.4M $ | — |
| upper 75% | 395.3M $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B $ | 14.4% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2021
