6 comments
49 forecasters
Will George Hotz's proposed AI chip company release a consumer product by 2030?
20%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 10, 2021
Closed:Mar 1, 2022
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 12, 2021
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99.9% chance
51
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
35 forecasters
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?
80% chance
41