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297 forecasters
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?
ResolvedYes
Tesla's stock performance has been both remarkable and volatile, with a 238% surge from its lowest point between April 22 and December 17, 2024, followed by a 21% decline by January 2, 2025.
Decreases Likelihood
Tesla's market capitalization exceeds $1 trillion as of January 2025, which significantly impacts Musk's net worth.
Decreases Likelihood
An insider share sale of SpaceX in December 2024 boosted Musk's net worth by about $50 billion, according to Bloomberg.
Decreases Likelihood
JPMorgan has raised concerns about Tesla’s projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, highlighting a potential $3.2 billion decrease in earnings before interest and taxes.
Decreases Likelihood
Elon Musk became the first person to surpass a net worth of $400 billion in December 2024, indicating his capacity to reach unprecedented wealth levels.
Increases Likelihood