295 forecasters

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

75%chance

7 pp this week

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 27, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 28, 2021

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Elon Musk, Larry Ellison Almost Tied in Wealth After Oracle Stock Jump

Business Insider•Sep 11, 2025

Oracle’s Ellison surpasses Tesla’s Musk to be world’s richest man

Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Elon Musk Dethroned As World’s Richest Man After Tech Stock Explodes

Daily Caller•Sep 11, 2025

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