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47
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150
forecasters
How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?
Current estimate
1.02 weapons
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Question Info
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1d
1w
2m
all
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Authors:
Metaculus-Partners
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Jun 25, 2021
Closes:
Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2055
Spot Scoring Time:
Jun 26, 2021
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
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