6 comments
33 forecasters
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?
Current estimate
0.249%
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2021