Question
[Short-Fuse] What proportion of last-round votes will Eric Adams get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?
Resolved:50.4Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
50.5
(49.7 - 51.2)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 49.69 | — |
| median | 50.47 | — |
| upper 75% | 51.2 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >80 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?50.4
Community Baseline Score
135.2
Community Peer Score
14.7
Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2021
Closes:Jul 6, 2021
Resolves:Jul 21, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 2, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2021
Closes:Jul 6, 2021
Resolves:Jul 21, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 2, 2021
