46 comments
23 forecasters
Assuming our future simulates us, what will be the first peer-reviewed guesses of our instantiation date?
Current estimate
13.5 billion years
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2021 
Closes:Jan 1, 2030 
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500 
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2021