28 comments
97 forecasters
Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?
55%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 55% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 18, 2021
Closes:Aug 31, 2021
Resolved:Dec 25, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 19, 2021
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
111
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
115k deaths/year
(87k - 202k)
115k deaths/year
(87k - 202k)
89 forecasters
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
754 cases
(335 - 1548)
754 cases
(335 - 1548)
25 forecasters