Question
When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
26 Nov 2029
(09 Jun 2026 - May 2037)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 09 Jun 2026 | — |
| median | 26 Nov 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | May 2037 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2070 | 9.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 10, 2021
Closes:Feb 14, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 12, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 10, 2021
Closes:Feb 14, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 12, 2021