16 comments
77 forecasters
Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?
5%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 29, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 31, 2021
What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?
<100 people
(<100 - 514)
<100 people
(<100 - 514)
80 forecasters
When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
3 forecasters
Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?
10% chance
25