🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the US have more than 6000 daily COVID-19 hospitalizations (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?

Resolved :Yes91%
7
7
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction91% (85% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 91%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
17.2
Community Peer Score
2.4
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Public health
United States
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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