Question

[Short Fuse]: Will the Yihetan Dam collapse, killing at least 1,000 people, before September 1 2021?

Resolved:Ambiguous
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 19%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:
Opened:Jul 23, 2021
Closes:Aug 14, 2021
Resolves:Aug 14, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 24, 2021