🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

[Short fuse] How many new coronavirus cases will the United States report for the week ending August 14th?

Resolved :897k870k
8
22
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction870k (708k - 1.07M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<20k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2M
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
708k
870.2k
1.066M
1.2%

What was the final result?897k

Community Baseline Score
42.2
Community Peer Score
28.9
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Public health
United States
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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