Question

Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?

Resolved:No

17 comments17

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction

14%

(10% - 21%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 14%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

69.8

Community Peer Score

9.8

Authors:

CullenOKeefe

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Sep 1, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 5, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%