Question

What will be the largest grouping of stars in the Milky Way, in the year 1 billion, that don't seem to be militarily hostile to each other?

3

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction

0.0517%

(4.28×10⁻¹⁰% - 0.806%)

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CDF

	<1×10⁻¹¹%	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	11.7%	4.283×10⁻¹⁰%	0.05166%	0.8057%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<1×10⁻¹¹%	11.7%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	4.283×10⁻¹⁰%	—
median	0.05166%	—
upper 75%	0.8057%	—

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 9999

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 9999

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 6, 2021

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 4, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 9999

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 9999

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 6, 2021