Question

Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election?

Resolved:Yes
10
7
Total Forecasters56
Community Prediction
59%
(54% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 59%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
28.2
Community Peer Score
-2.0
Authors:
metani
Opened:Jul 28, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 13, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 30, 2021
Elections
Geopolitics
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard