Question

Will the Supreme Court hear Harvard vs SFFA by 2030?

Resolved:Yes

29 comments29

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction

70%

(54% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

0.9

Community Baseline Score

1.1

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 15, 2021

Law

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

45%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 15, 2021

Law

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

40.8%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

45%