Question

When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?

Resolved :Above upper bound

22 comments22

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction2023-08-01

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2023-08-01

...

2023-08-01 00:00

95.5%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

113.6

Community Peer Score

54.5

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alexlyzhov

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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

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Authors:

alexlyzhov

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Closes:

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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%