38 forecasters

Will the US CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before August 1, 2022?

24%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 24% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Nov 1, 2021

Resolved:

Aug 2, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 5, 2021