5 comments
33 forecasters
When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old?
Authors:
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2021
Resolved:Oct 29, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2021
When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?
20 Jul 2026
(11 Aug 2025 - Jul 2031)
20 Jul 2026
(11 Aug 2025 - Jul 2031)
5 forecasters
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
80% chance
24
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Apr 2032
(09 May 2029 - Jul 2036)
Apr 2032
(09 May 2029 - Jul 2036)
3 forecasters