🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old?

Resolved :Oct 29, 20212021-11-03
8
5
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction2021-11-03 (2021-10-27 - 2021-11-19)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2022-07-31
...
...
...
...
2021-10-27 17:26
2021-11-03 16:42
2021-11-19 17:18
0.7%

What was the final result?Oct 29, 2021

Community Baseline Score
76.5
Community Peer Score
38.6
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Food and Drug Administration
COVID-19
Moderna
Janssen Pharmaceutica
COVID-19 vaccine
Medicine
Immunology
Virology
Epidemiology

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