🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

According to COVIDcast survey results reported by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute on 1 October 2021, what percentage of Virginians will be “vaccine accepting”?

Resolved :7781.3
2
17
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction81.3 (78.3 - 83.8)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
78.34
81.27
83.82

What was the final result?77

Community Baseline Score
84.1
Community Peer Score
7.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
University of Virginia
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Epidemiology

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