Question
How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters18
Community Prediction
567
(424 - >600)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 424.3 | — |
median | 566.6 | — |
upper 75% | >600 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>600 | 42.3% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
14.9
Community Peer Score
53.5
Authors:
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 9, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 9, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2021