🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :38.114.6
1
3
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction14.6 (9.28 - 22.9)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>84
...
...
...
...
9.285
14.59
22.89
0.4%

What was the final result?38.1

Community Baseline Score
-13.2
Community Peer Score
38.1
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
Virginia Department of Health
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Epidemiology

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